9 May 2019

Flagship Event I – The Future of Europe: Strategic options for an era of uncertainties

Location Hertie School of Governance
Beginning 12:30  Ending 20:30

At the first of three outreach events held in 2019 two thematic workshop sessions based on the topics of the two research groups will kick-start the day. Two panels debating the future of Europe will complement the event.

The Dahrendorf Forum’s fourth research cycle ‘The Future of Europe: Strategic Options for an Era of Uncertainties’ seeks to assess the multifarious challenges currently being faced by Europe, including Brexit, societal change, and the rise of populist movements, and to make practical recommendations on how governments and policymakers might constructively address these issues going forward.

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PROGRAMME

From 12:00          Arrival and registration

12:30 – 13:30      Lunch buffet

13:30 – 13:45    Welcome

 13:45 – 15:00    Workshop 1 – What next for the reform of the eurozone?

The eurozone has undergone a series of reforms over the last few years, yet the consensus is that there is still unfinished business. The panel will discuss the various proposals for further reform and assess their chances for being adopted. Questions will include: Can a banking union be completed rapidly, or is the reluctance of creditor countries to embrace risk sharing an insurmountable obstacle? Will a new stabilisation mechanism be acceptable to the ‘Hanseatics’? Have fiscal and other macroeconomic rules become too complicated and politically too difficult to implement to be effective? How useful will it be to expand the mandate of the European Stability Mechanism? Can France and Germany be expected to find compromise on eurozone governance?

Chair: Kevin Featherstone, Co-Chair of Dahrendorf Forum working group on governance, institutions, and policy, Director of the Hellenic Observatory, and Professor in European Politics at the London School of Economics and Political Science

Panelists:

Cinzia Alcidi, Senior Research Fellow and Head of Economic Policy Unit at CEPS in Brussels

Iain Begg, Academic Co-Director of the Dahrendorf Forum and Professorial Research Fellow, European Institute at the London School of Economics and Political Science

Mark Hallerberg, Professor of Public Management and Political Economy at Hertie School of Governance in Berlin

Ludger Schuknecht, Deputy Secretary-General of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in Paris

 

15:15 – 16:30    Workshop 2 – Escaping the paradox of globalization, liberal democracy, and national cohesion

Lord Ralf Dahrendorf and Dani Rodrik have pointed to a fundamental challenge of modern societies: the incompatibility of reconciling economic globalisation, liberal democracy, and national sovereignty and cohesion. While both the Dahrendorf Quandary and Rodrik’s Trilemma have received recognition and attention in recent years, surprisingly little systematic endeavor has been made to dissect how both have unfolded across countries and time. This panel illuminates this blind spot by examining the empirical foundations of Dahrendorf’s and Rodrik’s propositions and their implications. It furthermore discusses the typology of policy responses that European and other countries have enacted in order to deal with the difficult tasks of maintaining cohesion and democracy in an era of increased globalisation.

Chair: Andrea Römmele, Co-Chair of the Dahrendorf Forum working group on society, populism, and electoral trends and Professor for Communication in Politics and Civil Society at the Hertie School of Governance in Berlin

Panelists:

Helmut Anheier, Academic Co-Director of the Dahrendorf Forum and Professor of Sociology at the Hertie School of Governance in Berlin

Marco Buti, Director General for Economic and Financial Affairs at the European Commission in Brussels

Silvia Merler, Research Analyst, Head of Research – Policy & Research Forum at Algebris Investments in London

Andrés Ortega, Senior Research Fellow at the Elcano Royal Institute in Madrid

16:30 – 17:15      Snack Buffet

 

17:15 – 18:30  Panel 1 – European Security in 2030: How Technology matters – A scenario debate

The experts involved in this research cycle’s Dahrendorf Foresight Project have identified technological progress as one of the key driving forces that might endanger the future of European security over the next decade. This panel will feature a debate between cybersecurity experts and two authors of a scenario which describes the vision of a financial crash and, consequently, growing risks of cybercrime in Europe in 2030. Panelists will discuss how developments in the scenario unfolded and debate the following questions: To what extent, and under which circumstances, will technological change have as severe security implications as shown in the scenario? How can European states recapture the technological agenda and prepare themselves for socio-economic fallout of technological disruptions? What does the European Union have at stake in all this?

Introduction: Monika Sus, Dahrendorf Post-Doctoral Fellow at the Hertie School of Governance

Panelists:

Anita Gohdes, Professor of International and Cyber Security at the Hertie School of Governance

Nicole Koenig, Deputy Director at the Jacques Delors Institute Berlin

Jiro Minier, Security Analyst at DCSO Deutsche Cyber-Sicherheitsorganisation in Berlin

18:30 – 19:00     Snack Buffet

 

19:00 – 20:30 Panel 2 – A liberal democratic order for Europe ?

In several European countries, the idea of liberal democracy is losing ground. Internal and external threats are threatening the foundations of the EU, leaving, for example, the prime minister of Hungary, Victor Orbán, to propose an alternative vision of an ‘illiberal democracy’. In important ways, the long and complex process of European integration is an ongoing experiment in democratic governance and economics as well as social cooperation, if not integration. The unique nature of the Union is a singular experiment in shared sovereignty of democratic societies that differ in their levels of economic development, political and administrative systems, social fabric, and culture. Panelists will discuss the distinct purpose of democratic governance and economic development of an ever-closer union. Which requirements have to be achieved to bring Europeans closer, to help create a European public debate, and a sense of belonging to this European project of liberal democracy?

Panelists:

Bogdan Klich, former Minister of National Defence in Poland

Christine Reh, Dean of Graduate Programmes and Professor of European Politics at the Hertie School of Governance in Berlin

Norbert Röttgen, Member of the German Parliament and Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee

Gwendolyn Sasse, Director of the Centre for East European and International Studies (ZOiS); Professor of Comparative Politics at the Department of Politics and International Relations and at the School of Interdisciplinary Area Studies at the University of Oxford; Professorial Fellow at Nuffield College; Non-Resident Senior Fellow at Carnegie Europe (tbc)

Tom Tugendhat, Member of the British Parliament and Chairman of the Foreign Affairs Committee

20:30 – 22:00    Reception

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