(c) Dahrendorf Forum / Jorge Martin

European Union in the World 2025 – Scenarios for EU relations

The past year has seen Europe’s cohesion put to the test time and time again. Under pressure from Russia, migration, terrorism, reduced trade with China, and transatlantic tension, can Europe meet the challenge and shape the future of its relations with its neighbours and the world.

Against this backdrop, the Dahrendorf Forum initiated a foresight project which aimed to set out different scenarios for the future relationship between the European Union and the five countries/regions of the third project cycle: Ukraine and Russia, Turkey, MENA, United States and China. The alternative futures engage in defining the most likely trajectories, downside risks, new trends and ‘unknown unknowns’. By reflecting the forwardlooking challenges, the Dahrendorf Foresight Project tries to assess the EU’s role in the world in 2025.

Download the Dahrenorf Analysis with 18 scenarios for EU relations with its neighbours and strategic partners:
European Union in the World 2025
Edited by Monika Sus and Franziska Pfeifer

See also the project page.

Participants
of the workshops “European Union in the World 2025 – Scenarios for EU relations with its neighbours and strategic partners”

All participants were involved in the project in their personal capacities and their opinions did not necessary reflect the views of the institutions they work for.

USA group
Sebastian Feyock, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP)
Crister Garrett, Universität Leipzig
Sonja Kaufmann, Hertie School of Governance
Christoph Klavehn, European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)
Laura Krug, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP)
Anna Kuchenbecker, Aspen Instiute Berlin
Mathis Lohaus, Universität Greifswald
Dennis-Jonathan Mann, Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung
Gunter Rieck Moncayo, Konrad Adenauer Stiftung
Tim Oliver, London School of Economics
Jana Puglierin, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP)
Lena Ringelb, The American Academy in Berlin
Johannes Thimm, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)
Martin Thunert, Heidelberg Center for American Studies (HCA)
Lora Anne Viola, Freie Universität Berlin

China group
Johannes Gabriel, Foresight Intelligence
Jan Gaspers, Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
Olivia Gippner, London School of Economics
Bettina Gransow, Freie Universität Berlin
Sabine Mokry, Freie Universität Berlin/ Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
Wiebke Rabe, Hertie School of Governance
Christopher Sampson, London School of Economics
Susanne Schmelcher
Rainer Stinner, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP)
Johannes von Einem

Ukraine/Russia group
David Cadier, The Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)
Maria Davydchyk, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP)
Ryszarda Formuszewicz, Stiftung Genshagen
Gustav Gressel, European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)
Stefanie Harter, German International Cooperation (GIZ)
Franziska Holz, Hertie School of Governance
Julia Kahrl, Federal Foreign Office
Felix Krause, Hertie School of Governance
Agnieszka Lada, Institute of Public Affairs
Thomas Mehlhausen, University of Postdam
Stefan Meister, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP)
Inna Melnykovska, Harvard University / Freie Universität Berlin
Cristian Nitoiu, London School of Economics
Weronika Priesmeyer-Tkocz, European Academy Berlin
Evelina Schulz, European External Action Service
Iryna Solonenko, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP)
Susan Stewart, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)
Andreas Umland, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy
Sergey Utkin, Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Turkey group
Cornelia Abel, Transparency International
Ali Aslan, Deutsche Welle
Kristian Brakel, Heinrich Böll Foundation Turkey
Lisa Haferlach, Hertie School of Governance
Teyfik Karakücükoglu, Deutscher Bundestag
Harald Keuchel, Brot für die Welt
Alexander Knipperts, German International Cooperation (GIZ)
Dilek Kurban, Hertie School of Governance
Michael Nowak, Federal Foreign Office
Maximilian Popp, Der Spiegel
Ludwig Schulz, Centre for Applied Policy Research (C.A.P.) at Ludwig Maximilian University Munich
Jan Tasci, Stiftung Mercator
Funda Tekin, Institute for European Politics
Jakub Wodka, Polish Academy of Science
Aydin Yaşar, Hafen City University

MENA group
Ahmed Badawi, Freie Universität Berlin
Thomas Birringer, Konrad Adenauer Stiftung
Wiebke Ewering, Hertie School of Governance
Ali Fathollah-Nejad, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP)
Tabea Goldboom, Federal Foreign Office
Magdalena Kirchner, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)
Marie Kortam, Institut français du Proche-Orient
Benjamin Preisler, NATO
Isabel Schäfer, German Development Institute (DIE)
Nikolas Scherer, Hertie School of Governance
Julia Simon, Helmut Schmidt University
Sena Staufer, Burson-Marsteller
Isabelle Werenfels, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)